Follow us on social

google cta
2023-07-12t000000z_1923718200_mt1nurpho000duvn59_rtrmadp_3_g7-leaders-meeting-with-volodymyr-zelenskyy-in-vilnius-scaled

Update: Biden asks Congress for $25 billion in new Ukraine aid

The new money is included in a $40B emergency spending request, setting up a fight over whether Congress should blow off caps.

Analysis | Washington Politics
google cta
google cta

Update 8/10, 4 p.m. ET: President Biden made a detailed formal request for a new $40 billion emergency spending bill that includes some $25 billion in Ukraine-related assistance.

Roll Call has and excellent synopsis of what is in the request, here.

My colleague Bill Hartung looks at that military aid more closely and what isn't in the request, here.


According to reports from Bloomberg News, President Biden is expected to unveil a new $25 billion aid package for Ukraine today. This will reportedly include $13 billion in military assistance and $12 billion for humanitarian relief and other assistance.

This tracks with reports from Politico and Punchbowl News this week, that Biden is putting together a package for Congress to vote on this fall.

The U.S. has disbursed nearly $44 billion in weapons and other military assistance since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 (that is not counting other aid, which takes that total to over $113 billion).

Politico quotes Army acquisitions chief Doug Bush as confirming the president is firming up a proposal. “Details of that still have to be set by the Office of Management Budget but I think we have a very strong case to hopefully garner congressional support for continued funding for munitions, production increases, and munitions buys to support Ukraine," he said.

Congress will have to act on this before the Sept. 30 fiscal year deadline, at which time it will be expected to pass all major spending bills or the government shuts down. According to Hill watchers, the Ukraine aid will likely not be a standalone bill, but part of a supplemental "emergency spending" package that falls outside of the spending caps that Congress and Biden agreed to during the debt ceiling debate. It will also include other "must have" items in it, like disaster relief for major U.S. storm events and/or new weapons aid for Taiwan.

Of course there will be some sort of fight on Capitol Hill but the shape and rigor of it is not yet known. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has said he would not support any new spending above the caps, yet Senators like Lindsey Graham, Mitch McConnell, and Chuck Schumer have advocated using emergency spending to breach those limits, including defense hikes, from the start. Some Republican lawmakers say they will oppose new Ukraine aid, or put conditions on it, but it is clear they are outnumbered in this regard on both sides of the aisle. Whether they can stymie the process in the House is the question.

And how do Americans feel? It depends on the polling and the timing. According to a CNN/SSRS poll released last week, 55 percent of Americans do not think Congress “should authorize additional funding to support Ukraine in the war with Russia,” while 45 percent said Congress should approve more. Pluralities continued to support military training and intelligence gathering for Ukraine, but only 43 percent said the U.S. should be giving the country more weapons.


U.S. President Joe Biden and Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelensky leave the conference room during G7 Declaration of Joint Support for Ukraine during the high level NATO summit in Litexpo Conference Centre in Vilnius, Lithuania on July 12, 2023. (Photo by Dominika Zarzycka/NurPhoto)
google cta
Analysis | Washington Politics
Mbs-mbz-scaled
UAE President Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan receives Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at the Presidential Airport in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates November 27, 2019. WAM/Handout via REUTERS

Is the US goading Arab states to join war against Iran?

QiOSK

On Sunday, U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Mike Waltz told ABC News that Arab Gulf states may soon step up their involvement in the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran. “I expect that you'll see additional diplomatic and possibly military action from them in the coming days and weeks,” Waltz said.

Then, on Monday morning, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) slammed Saudi Arabia for staying out of the war even as “Americans are dying and the U.S. is spending billions” of dollars to conduct regime change in Iran. “If you are not willing to use your military now, when are you willing to use it?” Graham asked. “Hopefully this changes soon. If not, consequences will follow.”

keep readingShow less
Why Tehran may have time on its side
Top image credit: Iranian army military personnel stand at attention under a banner featuring an image of an Iranian-made unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) during a military parade commemorating the anniversary of Army Day outside the Shrine of Iran's late leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini in the south of Tehran, Iran, on April 18, 2025. (Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto)

Why Tehran may have time on its side

QiOSK

A provocative calculus by Anusar Farrouqui (“policytensor”) has been circulating on X and in more exhaustive form on the author’s Substack. It purports to demonstrate a sobering reality: in a high-intensity U.S.-Iran conflict, the United States may be unable to suppress Iranian drone production quickly enough to prevent a strategically consequential period of regional devastation.

The argument is framed through a quantitative lens, carrying the seductive appeal of mathematical precision. It arranges variables—such as U.S. sortie rates and degradation efficiency against Iranian repair cycles and rebuild speeds—to suggest a "sustainable firing rate." The implication is that Iran could maintain a persistent strike capability long enough to exhaust American political patience, forcing Washington toward a premature declaration of success or an unfavorable ceasefire.

keep readingShow less
Ignorance about war powers plays right into Trump's hands
Top image credit: US House Speaker Mike Johnson arrives for press briefing at Columbia University in New York on April 24, 2024. (Shutterstock/lev radin)

Ignorance about war powers plays right into Trump's hands

Washington Politics

This week efforts under the War Powers Act to check President Trump’s unconstitutional and unauthorized war in Iran failed on a mostly party line split in both the House and the Senate. The result isn’t all that surprising. The naivety, however, on the role of Congress in matters of war is staggering. Congress is in desperate need of a civics refresher.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.), in response to reporter questions on the application of the War Powers Act’s provisions to the president’s actions in Iran, said, “I think the president has the authority that he needs to conduct the activities. … As you know, there’s a lot of controversy around, questions around the War Powers Act, but I think the president is acting in the best interests of the nation.”

keep readingShow less
google cta
Want more of our stories on Google?
Click here to make us a Preferred Source.

LATEST

QIOSK

Newsletter

Subscribe now to our weekly round-up and don't miss a beat with your favorite RS contributors and reporters, as well as staff analysis, opinion, and news promoting a positive, non-partisan vision of U.S. foreign policy.