Follow us on social

2021-05-05t000000z_1975888773_rc2l9n92zggq_rtrmadp_3_egypt-turkey-scaled

Egypt planned to secretly arm Russia with rockets: Discord leaks

Sisi told his deputies to be discreet in order to ‘avoid problems with the West.’

Africa

Egyptian President Abdel Fatah El-Sisi secretly commanded his government to send rockets, artillery and gunpowder to Russia, saying in a meeting that the shipments should be discreet in order “to avoid problems with the West,” according to a leaked document first obtained by the Washington Post.

The revelation drew immediate backlash from Washington, which has supplied Cairo with an average of nearly $2 billion in annual aid for the past 45 years. “If it’s true that Sisi is covertly building rockets for Russia that could be used in Ukraine, we need to have a serious reckoning about the state of our relationship,” Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) told the Washington Post.

U.S. officials have denied seeing any evidence that the shipments have yet taken place, but the document indicates that Sisi’s order came down just days after meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken in late January. Given the importance that the United States has placed on strangling Russia’s weapons supply, the leak risks blowing up relations between Washington and one of its closest allies in the Middle East.

The Biden administration has yet to weigh in directly on the accusation, which comes as Congress has already been pressuring the executive branch to do more to rein in Egyptian human rights abuses. After the State Department agreed to withhold $130 million in planned aid to Cairo last year, then-Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.) blocked an additional $75 million tranche of support despite opposition from the administration.

When asked about the accusations, Egyptian officials insisted that Cairo maintains a neutral stance toward the war in Ukraine. “We continue to urge both parties to cease hostilities and reach a political solution through negotiations,” an Egyptian foreign ministry spokesperson told the Washington Post.

The intelligence report is part of a large tranche of classified files that have appeared on Discord servers since February. Some observers have characterized the leak as the largest since Edward Snowden’s 2013 revelations about the NSA’s spying program. 

The Justice Department has opened an investigation into the leak. Notably, one document showed that the U.S. only expects Ukraine to make “modest territorial gains” in its spring offensive, a sharp departure from Washington’s public messaging to date. “Not a surprising conclusion to those who’ve been following this closely, but these leaks are a real black eye for the administration,” tweeted Emma Ashford of the Stimson Center.

Another document revealed that Russian spies “claimed UAE security service officials and Russia had agreed to work together against US and UK Intelligence agencies,” according to AP News. 

The UAE allegation comes as the United States considers expanding defense cooperation with Persian Gulf countries in an effort to create a united front against Iran. Sens. James Risch (R-Idaho) and Bob Menendez (D-N.J.) recently introduced a bill that would allow the U.S. to create an air-defense alliance with the UAE, Iraq and other Gulf states. 

If true, the UAE revelation is a further indication that “Global South states, even those seen to be firmly in the US camp, are increasingly pursuing their own interests, sometimes defying Washington's core preferences,” according to Sarang Shidore of the Quincy Institute. 

A separate leaked file showed that the Wagner Group, a notorious Russian mercenary group, attempted to buy weapons from NATO member Turkey for use in Ukraine and Mali. The document did not indicate whether Wagner’s efforts were successful.

FILE PHOTO: Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi attends the opening ceremony of floating bridges and tunnel projects executed under the Suez Canal in Ismailia, Egypt May 5, 2019. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh/File Photo
Africa
ukraine war
Diplomacy Watch:
Diplomacy Watch: Ukraine and Europe brace for Trump presidency

Russia intensifies fighting after Trump’s win

Regions

After a more than two-month pause, Russia has begun striking deep into Ukraine once again, sending a reported 96 missiles and drones toward civilian infrastructure in the capital this week.

Following the U.S. presidential election, Vladimir Putin has stepped up Russia’s military campaigns. In addition to resuming strikes on Kyiv, Moscow has increased its drone strikes across Ukraine by 44%. Ivan Stupak, a former Ukrainian security officer, says, “In the next few months up to Jan. 20, we are expecting a significantly increasing number of launches towards Ukraine.”

keep readingShow less
Hezbollah
Top image credit: Hezbollah supporters carry the coffin of a victim who was killed in electronic pagers explosion, during a funeral procession in Beirut southern suburb. Marwan Naamani/dpa via Reuters Connect

Militant Islam is waning but the root causes endure

Middle East

As the Israeli assault on Gaza passes the 13-month mark, and as Hezbollah reels under the massive Israeli bombing campaign on its leaders and operational centers in Lebanon, it has become clear that militant political Islam has run out of steam. Concurrently, Iran’s defense strategic doctrine has been deprived of a major component; namely, its “proxy” militia groups.

As a U.S. government senior analyst, I followed political Islam and Islamic activism since the early 1990s. Now nearly 30 years later, it’s safe to judge with confidence that if this phenomenon is to survive, leaders of Islamic parties must jettison violence and militancy and return to participatory politics.

keep readingShow less
US troops Iraq
Top image credit: U.S. Army Soldiers conclude a training exercise in support of Combined Joint Task Force - Operation Inherent Resolve, in Western Iraq, Oct. 30, 2024. Large-scale, multi-capability exercises like these enhance Partner Forces' readiness to employ various tactics and capabilities to defeat ISIS at any time, in any place, across the region. (U.S. Army photo by Spc. Tyler Becker)

Veterans: Why we want Trump to keep Iraq withdrawal deal

Middle East

The election is now behind us and the impacts on America’s foreign policy are emerging. One thing that shouldn’t change is our commitment to the deal reached between the Biden administration and the Iraqi government for a withdrawal of most U.S. forces from Iraq in 2025.

As veterans who served in Iraq, we are urging the new administration to stick to the agreed timetable and see to it that American service members are no longer risking their lives in Iraq.

keep readingShow less

Election 2024

Latest

Newsletter

Subscribe now to our weekly round-up and don't miss a beat with your favorite RS contributors and reporters, as well as staff analysis, opinion, and news promoting a positive, non-partisan vision of U.S. foreign policy.