Follow us on social

Haircut-scaled

Giving the DoD a $56 billion haircut

This is the week when Congress can get the scissors out — or not. Either way, the military budget is overdue for a makeover.

Analysis | Military Industrial Complex

The time has come for consideration of the annual defense policy bill — the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA)— in the House of Representatives, and as is typical, members of Congress have submitted over 800 amendments to the House Rules Committee for consideration.

Few people have time to read through each one of those amendments, but two in particular deserve further consideration from lawmakers for their potential savings to the nation’s taxpayers.

One, amendment #397, is a reprisal of the now-annual efforts by Reps. Barbara Lee (D-Calif.) and Mark Pocan (D-Wis.) to cut the defense budget by 10 percent across the board. A number of Democrats in the House have joined Lee and Pocan in co-sponsoring the amendment, which could save taxpayers tens of billions of dollars this year alone.

The amendment would apply a 10 percent cut to all programs and components funded by the NDAA, with the exception of personnel costs and the Defense Health Program (DHP). Take those programs out and you’re left with about $564 billion of the $768 billion defense topline in the NDAA, for a cut of about $56 billion. To offer a sense of the magnitude of such a cut, if lawmakers were to divvy up those savings and distribute an equal amount to each taxpayer in America, over 150 million people would get a check of over $350 each.

That’s not to say that’s what lawmakers should (or would) do with a defense cut. In fact, since a good chunk of that $56 billion is money that budget scorekeepers haven’t even accounted for in their projections for next year’s government spending, Congress might be best off agreeing to the $56 billion cut and leaving it at that. But the example above demonstrates that it’sno chump change.

A similar amendment — #602 from Reps. Lee, Pocan, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) — would cancel out the major budget boost the House Armed Services Committee just provided the Defense Department in their consideration of the NDAA. This amendment, should it pass, would save taxpayers $24 billion — again, no small dollar amount. It would also cancel out a huge increase to the defense budget that is not only unjustified  but would reward f weapons and shipbuilding  programs already beset by delays, cost overruns, and waste of taxpayer dollars.

It’s likely that one or both amendments will receive consideration on the House floor. Unfortunately, it would be irresponsible to suggest that the 10 percent cut effort has a chance of passing. Last year, a similar amendment from Reps. Lee and Pocan failed 93-324. Every Republican voted against it, along with more than half of Democrats (139 in total). Ninety-two Democrats and one independent (libertarian former Rep. Justin Amash of Michigan, a former Republican) voted in favor.

That said, Rep. Lee was also the only member to oppose the authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs) in 2001 and 2002, a very lonely vote at the time. In 2021, the House finally voted on a bipartisan basis, 268 to 161, to repeal the 2002 AUMF for operations in Iraq. Public opinion and Congressional action change with time, and Democrats and Republicans should be tending to the urgency of reducing the defense budget to more sustainable levels.

Democrats have major spending ambitions, however, and they’re hunting for ways to pay for these ambitions. Though a raft of tax hikes have been proposed by the likes of President Biden and Speaker Nancy Pelosi, some Democrats could also consider paying for some of these programs with cuts to the defense side of the budget. One such blueprint would cut the defense budget by $338 billion over just four years — though many fiscal watchdogs would prefer to see such cuts devoted to deficit reduction.

Speaking of deficit reduction, plenty of Republicans should care about the runaway trajectory of defense spending as well. The nation is more than $28 trillion in debt, and there is no end to trillion-dollar deficits in sight. Solutions that get the budget closer to a long-term balance are going to have to require spending cuts everywhere — non-defense domestic spending alone won’t cut it. The Pentagon budget has to be on the table. Instead, defense hawks are putting us on track to spend an additional $1.2 trillion on defense than currently projected in just the next 10 years alone. That’s no proposal a fiscal conservative should agree to.

The Lee/Pocan amendment, and the Lee/Pocan/Ocasio-Cortez amendment, would make meaningful dents in a defense budget that has gone way too high. Their amendments are not the only strong ones offered, to be sure. Reps. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.) and Kurt Schrader (D-Ore.) have offered amendments to pare back the wasteful “wish lists” Congress gets from military leaders every year, while Democrats and Republicans have each offered amendments asking government watchdogs like the Government Accountability Office (GAO) to study areas of potential waste in the DoD budget.

But the  amendments cutting the budget may be lawmakers’ best shot this year to apply meaningful reductions to a defense topline that has gotten way out of hand. Congress should seize the opportunity before this year’s $768 billion budget turns into an $800 billion budget next year, to an $850 billion budget the year after that, and so on in perpetuity.

Analysis | Military Industrial Complex
2023-03-10t000000z_1731362646_mt1nurpho000xjbp8a_rtrmadp_3_conflicts-war-peace-ukraine-scaled
Ukrainian soldiers hold portraits of soldiers father Oleg Khomiuk, 52, and his son Mykyta Khomiuk, 25, during their farewell ceremony on the Independence Square in Kyiv, Ukraine 10 March 2023. The father and son died in the battles for Bakhmut in Donetsk region. (Photo by STR/NurPhoto)

Expert: Ukraine loses 25% of its population

QiOSK

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is over two years old, and Kyiv is facing a population crisis. According to Florence Bauer, the U.N. Population Fund’s head in Eastern Europe, Ukraine’s population has declined by around 10 million people, or about 25 percent, since the start of the conflict in 2014, with 8 million of those occurring after Russia began its full-scale invasion in 2022. This report comes a week after Ukrainian presidential adviser Serhiy Leshchenko revealed that American politicians were pushing Zelenskyy to mobilize men as young as 18.

Population challenges” were already evident before the conflict started, as it matched trends existing in Eastern Europe, but the war has exacerbated the problem. The 6.7 million refugees represent the largest share of this population shift. Bauer also cited a decline in fertility. “The birth rate plummeted to one child per woman – the lowest fertility rate in Europe and one of the lowest in the world,” she told reporters on Tuesday.

keep readingShow less
Maia Sandu Moldova
Top image credit: Moldova's incumbent President and presidential candidate Maia Sandu casts her ballots at a polling station, as the country holds a presidential election and a referendum on joining the European Union, in Chisinau, Moldova October 20, 2024. REUTERS/Vladislav Culiomza

It was a mistake to make the Moldovan election about Russia

Europe

Moldova’s election result has left incumbent President Maia Sandu damaged.

An EU referendum delivered only a wafer-thin vote in favor of membership of the bloc. And in the first round of a presidential vote that Western commentators predicted Sandu might edge narrowly, she fell some way short of the 50% vote share she’d need to land a second presidential term. She will now face a unified group of opposition parties in the second round with her chances of remaining in office in the balance.

keep readingShow less
RTX (ex-Raytheon) busted for ‘extraordinary’ corruption
Top Photo: Visitor passes the Raytheon Technologies Corporation (RTX) logo at the 54th International Paris Air Show at Le Bourget Airport near Paris, France, June 22, 2023. (REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo)

RTX (ex-Raytheon) busted for ‘extraordinary’ corruption

Military Industrial Complex

Indictments of arms contractors for corruption and malfeasance are not uncommon, but recently revealed cases of illegal conduct by RTX (formerly Raytheon) are extraordinary even by the relatively lax standards of the defense industry.

The company has agreed to pay nearly $1 billion in fines, which is one of the highest figures ever for corruption in the arms sector. To incur these fines, RTX participated in price gouging on Pentagon contracts, bribing officials in Qatar, and sharing sensitive information with China.

keep readingShow less

Election 2024

Latest

Newsletter

Subscribe now to our weekly round-up and don't miss a beat with your favorite RS contributors and reporters, as well as staff analysis, opinion, and news promoting a positive, non-partisan vision of U.S. foreign policy.