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US-Iran talks Saturday surprise with momentum towards a real deal

Trump has a chance to score a better deal than 2015 agreement

QiOSK
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Another round of constructive nuclear talks has been held with the help of the Omani mediators and Italian hosts. Though it is too early for a breakthrough, the momentum remains positive and is growing.

As a critical sign of strong political will on both sides for a deal, the pace of the talks is increasing, with technical talks being held in four days and another round of political discussions in seven days, according to officials.

While success is far from guaranteed, a pathway to success is starting to emerge. Still, hard issues remain unresolved, such as Tehran's demands for airtight guarantees that the US will stick to the deal.

But Trump has a chance to score a better deal than the 2015 agreement due to a willingness to put primary sanctions relief on the table. The opening of the Iranian market to American companies is a win-win. Iran's economy is in dire need of relief, and American companies would benefit greatly from access to this major, largely untapped market. The presence of American companies in the Iranian market may also be the most efficient political guarantee that the US will stick to the agreement.

Oman's constructive role continues to impress. Some countries help America find peace. And then there are countries trying to drag America into war. America is very fortunate to have Oman as a friend.


People and police members stand at one of the entrances of the Omani embassy, where the second round of US-Iran talks is taking place, in Rome, Italy, April 19, 2025. REUTERS/Vincenzo Livieri

US iran talks

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Iran says ‘no ship is allowed to pass’ Strait of Hormuz: Reports
Top image credit: A large oil tanker transits the Strait of Hormuz. (Shutterstock/ Clare Louise Jackson)

Iran says ‘no ship is allowed to pass’ Strait of Hormuz: Reports

QiOSK

Hours after the U.S. and Israel launched a campaign of airstrikes across Iran, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps is warning vessels in the Persian Gulf via radio that “no ship is allowed to pass the Strait of Hormuz,” according to a report from Reuters.

The news suggests that Iran is ready to pull out all the stops in its response to the U.S.-Israeli barrage, which President Donald Trump says is aimed at toppling the Iranian regime. A full shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz would cause an international crisis given that 20% of the world’s oil passes through the narrow channel. Financial analysts estimate that even one day of a full blockade could cause global oil prices to double from $66 per barrel to more than $120.

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What Pakistan's 'open war' on Taliban in Afghanistan really means
Top image credit: FILE PHOTO: Afghan Taliban fighters patrol near the Afghanistan-Pakistan border in Spin Boldak, Kandahar Province, following exchanges of fire between Pakistani and Afghan forces in Afghanistan, October 15, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer

What Pakistan's 'open war' on Taliban in Afghanistan really means

QiOSK

Pakistan’s airstrikes on Kabul and Kandahar over the last 24 hours are nothing new. Islamabad has carried out strikes inside Afghanistan several times since the Taliban’s return to power. Pakistan claimed that the Afghan Taliban used drones to conduct strikes in Pakistan.

What distinguishes this latest episode is the rhetorical escalation, with Pakistani officials openly referring to the action as “open war.” While the language grabbed international headlines, it is best understood as part of a managed escalation designed to signal resolve without crossing red lines that would make de-escalation impossible.

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POGO The Bunker
Top image credit: Project on Government Oversight

'Going it alone' approach will leave one person holding the Iran bag

Military Industrial Complex

The Bunker appears originally at the Project on Government Oversight and is republished here with permission.


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