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US-Iran talks Saturday surprise with momentum towards a real deal

Trump has a chance to score a better deal than 2015 agreement

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Another round of constructive nuclear talks has been held with the help of the Omani mediators and Italian hosts. Though it is too early for a breakthrough, the momentum remains positive and is growing.

As a critical sign of strong political will on both sides for a deal, the pace of the talks is increasing, with technical talks being held in four days and another round of political discussions in seven days, according to officials.

While success is far from guaranteed, a pathway to success is starting to emerge. Still, hard issues remain unresolved, such as Tehran's demands for airtight guarantees that the US will stick to the deal.

But Trump has a chance to score a better deal than the 2015 agreement due to a willingness to put primary sanctions relief on the table. The opening of the Iranian market to American companies is a win-win. Iran's economy is in dire need of relief, and American companies would benefit greatly from access to this major, largely untapped market. The presence of American companies in the Iranian market may also be the most efficient political guarantee that the US will stick to the agreement.

Oman's constructive role continues to impress. Some countries help America find peace. And then there are countries trying to drag America into war. America is very fortunate to have Oman as a friend.


People and police members stand at one of the entrances of the Omani embassy, where the second round of US-Iran talks is taking place, in Rome, Italy, April 19, 2025. REUTERS/Vincenzo Livieri

US iran talks

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Vatican quietly steps up role in US-Cuba talks
Top image credit: At the Embassy of Italy to the Holy See Palazzo Borromeo, in the presence of the highest institutional authorities of the Italian Republic and the Holy See, the 97th anniversary of the Lateran Pacts and the 42nd anniversary of the Agreement revising the Concordat are commemorated. Pictured is Pietro Parolin Secretary of State of the Holy See. Rome, 17 February 2026.

Vatican quietly steps up role in US-Cuba talks

Latin America

As the Trump administration and its allies ramp up pressure on Havana following deadly bombing campaigns in Caracas and Tehran, an interlocutor that for decades has mediated turbulent U.S.-Cuba ties is re-emerging as a potential facilitator of a bilateral deal: the Vatican.

On Thursday, Cuba’s foreign ministry announced the release of 51 prisoners in anticipation of Holy Week, crediting the “close and fluid relations between the Cuban state and the Vatican.” The move came just days after Vatican Secretary of State Pietro Parolin said the Holy See had taken the “necessary steps” to ensure a “negotiated solution” between the two countries, and just over a week after Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez Parrilla was received by Pope Leo XIV. These talks followed a recent meeting in Rome between a senior U.S. diplomat and the Holy See’s equivalent of a foreign minister.

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As Iran war rages, Washington opens a new front in Ecuador
Top image credit: Ecuadoran security forces patrol the streets of Manta, Ecuador. (IMAGO/Agencia Prensa-Independiente via Reuters Connect)

As Iran war rages, Washington opens a new front in Ecuador

Latin America

As the world’s attention is focused on the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran, the United States has, with little fanfare, opened another front in its expanding campaign against so-called “narco-terrorism” in the Western Hemisphere.

Since this campaign began last year, U.S. military strikes on alleged drug-smuggling boats, as well as a direct military intervention in Venezuela, have claimed the lives of more than 250 people. Now, Ecuador, a country on the northwestern edge of South America, has become the latest site of Washington’s reinvigorated “war on drugs.” This escalation risks making the United States complicit in the human rights abuses of a government that is steadily dismantling its own country’s democracy, including by suspending the nation’s largest opposition party.

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Israel’s push for Somaliland base raises fears of wider war
Top image credit: Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar and Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi participate in a joint press conference during Saar's visit to Somaliland on January 6, 2026. (Screengrab via X)

Israel’s push for Somaliland base raises fears of wider war

QiOSK

Bloomberg reported Wednesday that Israel is in talks with Somaliland officials to form a strategic security partnership, which might include granting Israel access to a military base or other security installation along the Somaliland coast from which it can launch attacks against Yemen’s Houthi rebels.

With war raging in the Middle East, the Horn of Africa is a particularly important geoeconomic and geopolitical puzzle piece. Its location near the Bab el-Mandeb strait, which connects ships traveling through the Red Sea with the Gulf of Aden and the Indian Ocean, makes it a strategic location from the perspective of global shipping, 10% to 12% of which travels through the strait annually.

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