Follow us on social

Pentagon

Poll: Americans' trust in the military plummets to less than 50%

The backlash and sense of betrayal during 20 years of war, which culminated with the Afghanistan withdrawal has taken its toll.

Analysis | Asia-Pacific

Americans’ trust in what used to be our supposedly most trustworthy institution — the U.S. military — continues to plummet, according to a new poll by a leading conservative Republican organization.

The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute found that only 45 percent of Americans polled have “a great deal of trust” in the military, plummeting from 70 percent just two years ago, and down from 56 percent just eight months ago in March. This is higher, however, than the 2021 Gallup poll, which found that 37 percent of Americans have "a great deal" of confidence in the military or "quite a lot" (32 percent). These were the lowest marks since at least 2001.

The foundation’s executive director Richard Zakheim acknowledged that the poll did not drill down on why Americans felt less confident in the military these days, but chalked it up to the events after the George Floyd police killing, when National Guard troops were sent into American cities during the protest, particularly Washington, D.C. 

“This general sense of negativity comes mostly from political leadership,” he said, speculating to the Wall Street Journal. “That could be the way elected officials and civilian leaders are politicizing the military.”

While the domestic use of troops during the protests may have some role to play, I am not buying Zakheim's spin. I have written extensively (with more published here at RS) about the growing sense of betrayal and backlash against military leaders during the last 20 years of the post-9/11 wars, culminating in the chaotic withdrawal of Afghanistan in September. The failures of those wars, which Americans clearly see as failures in poll after poll, combined with the increasing politicization of the military over the last few years, has taken the shine off the brass in a big way. Data point: Only 40 percent polled by the Reagan Foundation said they had confidence in the leadership to act in a professional and non-political manner. 

Not coincidentally, the Reagan Foundation poll also found that 59 percent of Americans concluded that the war was “mostly a failure,” compared with 50 percent in February. Interestingly though, 49 percent blame President Biden for the badly executed U.S. withdrawal in which 13 servicemembers were killed, while 20 percent cited poor military planning.

While the people may have no faith in the military, 40 percent believe the U.S. should send troops to Taiwan to defend it from a Chinese attack. This is because most respondents view China as the greatest national security threat to the U.S. today — 52 percent, up from 21 percent just four years ago.


An aerial view of the Pentagon, in Washington, District of Columbia. (TSGT ANGELA STAFFORD, USAF/public domain)
Analysis | Asia-Pacific
Trump Xi Jinping
Top photo credit: U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping react as they hold a bilateral meeting at Gimhae International Airport, on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit, in Busan, South Korea, October 30, 2025. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein TPX

Can Trump finally break with Biden's failed China policy?

Asia-Pacific

UPDATE 10/30: President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping emerged from much anticipated meeting in South Korea Thursday with a broad framework for a deal moving forward. Trump said the U.S. would lower tariffs on China, while Beijing would delay new export restrictions on rare earth minerals for one year and crack down on the trade in fentanyl components.


keep readingShow less
Iraq elections 2025
Top photo credit: Supporters attend a ceremony announcing the Reconstruction and Development Coalition election platform ahead of Iraq’s upcoming parliamentary elections in Karbala, Iraq, October 10, 2025. REUTERS/Thaier Al-Sudani

Iraq faces first quiet election in decades. Don't let that fool you.

Middle East

Iraqis head to the polls on November 11 for parliamentary elections, however surveys predict record-low turnout, which may complicate creation of a government.

This election differs from those before: Muqtada al-Sadr has withdrawn from politics; Hadi al-Ameri’s Badr Organization is contesting the vote independently; and Hezbollah — Iran’s ally in Lebanon — is weakened. Though regional unrest persists, Iraq itself is comparatively stable.

keep readingShow less
Trump Xi
Top image credit: Joey Sussman and Photo Agency via shutterstock.com

Trump-Xi reset could collapse under the weight of its ambition

Asia-Pacific

On Thursday, President Donald Trump is expected to meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC Summit in Seoul, where they will aim to calm escalating trade tensions and even explore striking a “Big Deal” between the world’s two superpowers.

The stakes could not be higher. The package reportedly under discussion could span fentanyl controls, trade, export restrictions, Chinese students, and even China’s civil-military fusion strategy. It would be the most ambitious effort in years to reset relations between Washington and Beijing. And it could succeed — or collapse — under the weight of its own ambition.

keep readingShow less

LATEST

QIOSK

Newsletter

Subscribe now to our weekly round-up and don't miss a beat with your favorite RS contributors and reporters, as well as staff analysis, opinion, and news promoting a positive, non-partisan vision of U.S. foreign policy.