Follow us on social

The US is making a very big deal over Chinese 'interceptions'. Why?

The US is making a very big deal over Chinese 'interceptions'. Why?

It seems like an odd way to make nice before Xi-Biden summit.

Analysis | Asia-Pacific

A flurry of freshly released footage of apparent Chinese air interceptions further complicates the troubled U.S.-China relationship, casting an even larger pall on the upcoming summit between President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping in San Francisco.

The Pentagon has released a spate of photos and footage it says shows interceptions of U.S. military aircraft by Chinese pilots. "Since the fall of 2021, we have seen more than 180 such incidents: More in the past two years than in the decade before that," said Ely Ratner, the assistant secretary of defense for Indo-Pacific security affairs, in a Defense Department statement earlier this week.

"That's nearly 200 cases where PLA operators have performed reckless maneuvers, or discharged chaff, or shot off flares, or approached too rapidly or too close to U.S. aircraft,” Ratner added.

The images and videos were released in the run-up to the Defense Department’s upcoming annual report on China’s military power. And, they come amid continued efforts by the Biden administration to restore channels of military communications with China that were severed by Beijing after former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s 2022 visit to Taiwan — something referenced in the DOD press statement.

“As this is happening, Chinese military officials refuse repeated U.S. requests to open lines of communication between the two countries,” the Pentagon said, highlighting appeals by Navy Adm. John Aquilino, the commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, to open back up. "I have yet to have one of those requests accepted," Aquilino said. "I look forward to speaking to my counterparts. I think developing that relationship would be critical to maintaining the peace and stability in the region."

The accent placed by the press release on the necessity of bilateral dialogue suggests that the intercept revelations may be partially intended as an attempt by the Biden administration to pressure Beijing into reopening those lines. Aerial interceptions, including those that involve close contact between aircraft belonging to different militaries, are not uncommon, but Ratner said there has been an alarming uptick in such activity since the fall of 2021.

The Pentagon’s concerns come even as officials make plans for a face-to-face meeting between Biden and Xi next month in San Francisco. The sit-down is unlikely to yield a substantial rapprochement between the U.S. and China or to result in the elusive reset in bilateral relations previously sought by the Biden administration. Instead, the meeting appears to be aimed more at establishing ground rules in the mounting global competition between Washington and Beijing and promoting mutual “stability,” a term frequently used by White House officials to describe the administration’s China policy.

The interception footage is the latest instance in ongoing attempts by both sides to enter the high-stakes talks between the world’s two largest economies from a position of strength. Xi met with Russian President Vladimir Putin, whom he described as his “dear friend,” earlier this week at Beijing’s Belt and Road Forum. The conference, which drew scores of participants from the global south, reflects China’s ongoing bid to position itself as a key voice on issues pertaining to the developing world and to advance a vision of multipolarity that is starkly at odds with Washington.

“Viewing others’ development as a threat or taking economic interdependence as a risk will not make one’s own life better or speed up one’s development,” said Xi in a thinly-veiled reference to the U.S. during his opening remarks.

More than setting the tone, the Pentagon’s framing of its interception claims may offer a preview of Biden’s agenda for the meeting. Top officials including Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin have repeatedly and unsuccessfully urged Beijing to reopen lines of military communication. The Pentagon’s Tuesday statement suggests that reestablishing military dialogue will be one of Biden’s core objectives in the upcoming November summit.

China, for its part, appears to be using the military dialogue issue as leverage to extract concessions from Washington in other areas. “The U.S. side is surely aware of why there is difficulty in military-to-military exchanges,” Chinese Diplomat Yang Tao said following Blinken’s visit to China earlier this year. “One of the reasons is unilateral sanctions against the Chinese side. They first need to remove impediments and create conditions for military-to-military cooperation.”

Yet the White House is in no hurry to provide the concessions Beijing appears to be seeking, instead taking new steps to tighten the economic screws on China. The Biden administration unveiled updated export controls on Tuesday aimed at further restricting China’s access to certain types of semiconductors, the latest broadside in a widening chip war with China.

“These controls maintain our clear focus on military applications and confront the threats to our national security posed by the PRC government’s military-civil fusion strategy,” said U.S. secretary of commerce Gina Raimondo.

Each side has something the other wants, but it remains to be seen if even partial compromise is possible in the context of an increasingly hostile bilateral relationship. The November Biden-Xi summit, if it takes place, will be the biggest test yet of the administration’s effort to establish a working model of sustainable, managed competition with China.

Images and video newly released by the Department capture a PLA fighter jet "in the course of conducting a coercive and risky intercept against a lawfully operating U.S. asset in the East China Sea," according to the DOD. (Courtesy of Indo-Pacom)
Analysis | Asia-Pacific
Lindsey Graham: Israel-Saudi deal will fix Gaza

Senator Lindsey Graham speaking at the Doha Forum on Sunmdau, 12/10/23. (Vlahos)

Lindsey Graham: Israel-Saudi deal will fix Gaza


Senator Lindsey Graham had two options walking into the Doha Forum in Qatar this weekend: find a way to triangulate his full-throated support for Netanyahu policies in Israel for the largely Palestinian-supportive Muslim audience Sunday, or wave his own flag without reservation. He went with the latter.

The South Carolina Republican made it clear he was no stranger to the region — he touted a long friendship with his host the Emir of Qatar and lauded the kingdom's role as international mediator and host to America's Fifth Fleet. But he didn't bat an eye to tell this audience — thousands of Muslims assembled from across the Gulf and the broader Middle East, plus attendees from Global South nations and Europe — that the U.S. veto of the ceasefire was one of the few things he thought the Biden Administration got right.

keep readingShow less
Biden needs to stop coddling Bibi
In half a century of public life, U.S. President Joe Biden has demonstrated unwavering support for Israel. In this photo Biden is welcomed by Israeli Prime Minster Benjamin Netanyahu, as he visits Israel amid the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas, in Tel Aviv, Israel, October 18, 2023. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein/File Photo

Biden needs to stop coddling Bibi

Middle East

Of all the foreign policy challenges President Joe Biden faces, most difficult is the war in Gaza. That is not because of the apparent geopolitical stakes; as Biden often says, China poses the most important long-term challenge and Russia is next. But while important, what happens between Israel and the Palestinians, as well as elsewhere in the Middle East, has not been in the same league.

Yet because of the war in Gaza, with its linkage to overall Israeli-Palestinian relations and risks of escalation to other parts of the region, there may soon be an explosion dwarfing all other concerns facing Biden and his team.

keep readingShow less
Russia's Lavrov lays it on thick for Middle East audience

Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov speaks at the 21st Doha Forum in Qatar on Dec. 10. (Vlahos)

Russia's Lavrov lays it on thick for Middle East audience


DOHA, QATAR — In remarks Sunday at the 21st Doha Forum in Qatar, Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov seemed to revel in what is becoming a groundswell of international frustration with the United States over its policies in Israel. Despite Russia’s own near-isolated status after its 2022 invasion of Ukraine, Lavrov glibly characterized the U.S. as on the wrong side of history, the leader of the dying world order, and the purveyor of its own brand of “cancel culture.”

“I think everybody understands that this (Gaza war) did not happen in a vacuum that there were decades of unfulfilled promises that the Palestinians would get their own state,” and years of political and security hostilities that exploded on Oct. 7, he charged. “This is about the cancel culture, whatever you don’t like about events that led to the current situation you cancel. Everything that came before February 2022, including the bloody coup (in Ukraine) and the unconstitutional change of power … all this was canceled. The only thing that remains is that Russia invaded Ukraine.”

keep readingShow less

Israel-Gaza Crisis