Follow us on social

2023-03-22t225531z_2075102719_rc23zz9kf6lf_rtrmadp_3_usa-china-tiktok-congress-scaled

We need a better China policy. Banning TikTok isn't it.

The real danger is the bipartisan consensus moving the US toward a more hostile relationship with Beijing.

Analysis | Asia-Pacific

I am not a fan of social media. I have a couple of accounts but rarely use them. In addition to the demonstrated ill-effects on young people, their algorithms have tended to erode the republic when people get both “news” and conspiracy theories from them. Yet the bipartisan enthusiasm to ban TikTok — owned by the Chinese company ByteDance and most famous for hosting teenage dance videos — is not only a bad idea, but a downright ridiculous one.

The Biden administration wants TikTok’s Chinese owners to sell their stake or face a possible nationwide ban. It’s not an idle threat; in 2020, the Trump administration forced a Chinese firm to sell the dating app Grindr.

When both parties agree on something, citizens should be wary. Despite the political stupidity of shutting down a platform used by nearly 150 million people, many of them young voters or potentially future voters, banning TikTok seems to join the “creeping fascism” of banning books from schools. In short, a ban would likely violate the First Amendment.

The First Amendment doesn’t have an exemption for national security, and given the weak reasoning offered by proponents of such censorship of TikTok, even national security should be put in quotes. Proponents say that the Chinese government has a heavy influence over companies in China (true) and that the company could be forced to give over dancing Americans’ data to that government (also true). Yet if the Chinese government assiduously wants data on American teenagers cutting the rug, it can get it through other, less protected sources — and it does. 

The other rap on TikTok is that it could be used by the Chinese government to foist propaganda on America, with memories of the Russian efforts during the 2016 election. Yet studies seem to question the efficacy of Russia’s effort to secure Trump’s victory. More evidence exists that his election win can be attributed to FBI Director James Comey’s last-minute reopening of the agency’s email investigation of his opponent Hillary Clinton, Trump’s payoff to keep an affair with a porn star quiet, and Clinton being an unappealing candidate. And as Thomas Jefferson once said in a republic, disinformation should not be censored, but could best be countered with the truth.

The enthusiasm to ban TikTok goes deeper than national security; a bipartisan Cold War-like animus has arisen toward all things China. Both U.S. political parties are now protectionist and resent the degree that the United States is dependent on imports from China. The U.S. national security establishment is concerned that China’s rhetoric and actions toward Taiwan are becoming more aggressive, but the abysmal performance of Russia’s supposedly reformed post-Cold War military in Ukraine should give Chinese leader Xi Jinping pause that his generals also have been hiding from him major problems in a corrupt military embedded in an autocratic society. 

Although China is a more formidable competitor economically, Xi is retightening the communist government’s hold over Chinese business, the economy, and society. This increased authoritarianism is bad for the Chinese people but good for U.S. security, because in the long run it will weaken the Chinese economy — and therefore the political and military challenge to the United States.

Yet large parts of both parties are supportive of President Joe Biden’s lead in taking on, often by proxy, both Russia and China at the same time. Of course, there is a possibility that such dual hostility ultimately could result in an ill-advised two-front war with both great powers at the same time. This risky policy is the opposite of President Richard Nixon, who, although corrupt, was skillful in driving a wedge between China and the Soviet Union by improving relations with both. 

After the indefensible and unnecessarily brutal Russian invasion of Ukraine, it is currently infeasible to improve relations with Russia, but China is a different matter. To insert a wedge between the two countries instead of driving them together with hostility to both, the Biden administration should cool the anti-China rhetoric, signal an easing of relations, and then make the striking policy change of actually recognizing a greater role for China in Asia. This change might even pay immediate dividends by allowing China to help call off the Russian dog in Ukraine.

Such a policy change toward China would require Biden to stop verbally committing the United States to directly defend Taiwan, with his national security establishment then walking back those pledges by insisting that U.S. policy has not changed. The change would not require the United States to stop selling Taiwan the modern arms needed to execute a “porcupine strategy” to inflict enough damage on Chinese forces to deter an attack. 

The bipartisan support for banning TikTok illustrates that anti-Chinese sentiment in the United States has soared to ridiculously dangerous levels and should be replaced with the U.S. government’s acceptance of a rising China. It’s either that or possibly a new war (cold or hot) — perhaps on dual fronts simultaneously with two great powers. 


U.S. Representative Jamal Bowman (D-NY) joins TikTok creators at a news conference to speak out against a possible ban of TikTok at the House Triangle at the United States Capitol in Washington, U.S., March 22, 2023. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein
Analysis | Asia-Pacific
Mike Waltz: Drop Ukraine draft age to 18
Top Photo: Incoming National Security Advisor Mike Waltz on ABC News on January 12, 2025

Mike Waltz: Drop Ukraine draft age to 18

QiOSK

Following a reported push from the Biden administration in late 2024, Mike Waltz - President-elect Donald Trump’s NSA pick - is now advocating publicly that Ukraine lower its draft age to 18, “Their draft age right now is 26 years old, not 18 ... They could generate hundreds of thousands of new soldiers," he told ABC This Week on Sunday.

Ukraine needs to "be all in for democracy," said Waltz. However, any push to lower the draft age is unpopular in Ukraine. Al Jazeera interviewed Ukrainians to gauge the popularity of the war, and raised the question of lowering the draft age, which had been suggested by Biden officials in December. A 20-year-old service member named Vladislav said in an interview that lowering the draft age would be a “bad idea.”

keep readingShow less
Zelensky, Trump, Putin
Top photo credit: Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky (Office of Ukraine President/Creative Commons); US President Donald Trump (Gabe Skidmore/Creative Commons) and Russian President Vladimir Putin (World Economic Forum/Creative Commons)

Trump may get Russia and Ukraine to the table. Then what?

Europe

Russia’s dismissive response to possible provisions of a Trump settlement plan floated in Western media underscores how difficult the path to peace in Ukraine will be. It also highlights one of the perils of an approach to diplomacy that has become all too common in Washington: proposing settlement terms in advance of negotiations rather than first using discreet discussions with adversaries and allies to gauge what might be possible.

To achieve an accord that Ukraine will embrace, Russia will respect, and Europe will support, Trump will have to revive a tradition of American statesmanship — balancing power and interests among capable rivals — that has been largely dormant since the Cold War ended, and U.S. foreign policy shifted its focus toward democratizing other nations and countering terrorism.

keep readingShow less
Tulsi Gabbard
Top photo credit: Former Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, President-elect Trump’s nominee to be Director of National Intelligence, is seen in Russell building on Thursday, December 12, 2024. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call/Sipa USA)

Tulsi Gabbard vs. the War Party

Washington Politics

Not long after Donald Trump nominated Tulsi Gabbard to serve as his director of national intelligence (DNI), close to 100 former national security officials signed a letter objecting to her appointment, accusing her of lacking experience and having “sympathy for dictators like Vladimir Putin and [Bashar al-]Assad.”

Trump has now made many controversial foreign policy nominations that stand at odds with his vows to end foreign wars and prioritize peace and domestic problems — including some who are significantly less experienced than Gabbard — yet only the former Hawaiian Congresswoman has received this level of pushback from the national security establishment so far.

keep readingShow less

Trump transition

Latest

Newsletter

Subscribe now to our weekly round-up and don't miss a beat with your favorite RS contributors and reporters, as well as staff analysis, opinion, and news promoting a positive, non-partisan vision of U.S. foreign policy.