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2021-05-12t171027z_1620861461_dpam210512x90x030490_rtrfipp_4_politics-conflict-government-unrest-defence-police

New Israeli government challenges US on Ukraine, Palestinians

Benjamin Netanyahu is poised to deepen the divide between Washington and Tel Aviv on a wide range of issues.

Europe
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Just days after Israeli politician Benjamin Netanyahu returned to power, Israel is poised to make a change in its approach to the war in Ukraine.

“On the issue of Russia and Ukraine, there is one thing that we will certainly be doing, and that is less talking about it in public,” Eli Cohen, the government’s foreign minister, said in a speech Monday before noting that Tel Aviv’s humanitarian aid to Kyiv will continue. Cohen also revealed that he planned to speak Tuesday with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, who Israeli leaders have shunned since the February invasion.

The vague shift in policy received blowback from U.S. commentators and politicians, including ardently pro-Israel Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.). “[T]he idea that Israel should speak less about Russia’s criminal invasion of Ukraine is a bit unnerving,” Graham tweeted after the speech.

Prior to the speech, Netanyahu reportedly pressured Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to abstain from a UN vote that would mandate that the International Court of Justice issue a legal opinion on Israeli actions in the occupied Palestinian territories. 

Ukraine, which had previously supported the measure, opted not to attend the late December vote, reportedly in hopes that Tel Aviv would repay the favor by providing Kyiv with sophisticated missile defense systems. Israel has so far opted against sending such weapons to Ukraine, in large part because of its sensitive relationship with Russia in Syria, and Cohen’s speech suggests that Netanyahu has no interest in changing that policy.

The controversial moves highlight the extent to which Netanyahu’s new government, which includes several notorious far-right politicians, will ruffle feathers in Washington, where the Middle Eastern country has long enjoyed bipartisan support.

Outside of Russian issues, Netanyahu’s team has also signaled a desire to step up repressive policies in Jerusalem and the West Bank. His government announced Monday that it will evict over 1,000 Palestinians from the West Bank region of Masafer Yatta in a move that a leading Israeli human rights group called a “fast-tracked war crime.”

And on Tuesday, Minister of National Security Itamar Ben Gvir — a far-right politician who Netanyahu has put in charge of Israeli police — made a provocative visit to the Haram al-Sharif. Also known as the Temple Mount, the area is one of the holiest sites in Islam and Judaism and a consistent flashpoint in Arab-Israeli affairs.

Washington’s ambassador to Israel, Tom Nides, warned after the visit that the U.S. wants to preserve the “status quo” around the holy sites and that “actions that prevent that are unacceptable.”

“We have been very clear in our conversations with the Israeli government on this issue,” Nides told Axios reporter Barak Ravid.


Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (C) receives operational updates from the IDF Chief-of-Staff Aviv Kochavi and commander of the Israeli Air Force Amikam Norkin. May 12, 2021. (Deutsche Presse-Agentur/Reuters)
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Europe
Trump, George w. Bush, Bill Clinton
Top photo credit: President Donald Trump (Trump White House/public domain) ; George W Bush (National Archives/public domain); President Bill Clinton (Clinton presidential library/public domain)

All aboard America's strategic blunder train. Next stop: Iran

Washington Politics

With not just one — but two — carrier battle groups now steaming in circles somewhere off the coast of Oman out of the range of Iranian missiles, we are all left with the head-scratching question: what is it, exactly, that the United States hopes to accomplish with another round of air strikes on Iran? Trump hasn’t told us.

The latest crisis du jour with Iran illustrates the strategic swamp willingly stepped into not just by Donald Trump but his predecessors as well. The swamp is built on a singular and hopelessly misguided assumption: that the use of force either by stand-off, limited strikes from 12,000 feet or even invasions will somehow solve complex political problems on the ground below. The United States today sits shivering, gripped with this runaway swamp fever — with no relief in sight.

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Are MAGA restrainers pulling their punches this time on Iran?

Washington Politics

The Trump administration appears to be moving closer to a U.S. war with Iran, and there are plenty on the right, including inside MAGA, rallying against it. Unfortunately, they seem much more drowned out this time around.

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Why Arab states are terrified of US war with Iran

Middle East

As an American attack on Iran seems increasingly inevitable, America’s allies in the Persian Gulf — the very nations hosting U.S. bases and bracing anxiously for an Iranian blowback — are terrified of escalation and are lobbying Washington to stop it .

The scale of the U.S. mobilization is indeed staggering. As reported by the Responsible Statecraft’s Kelley Vlahos, at least 108 air tankers are in or heading to the CENTCOM theater. As military officers reckon, strikes can now happen “at any moment.” These preparations suggest not only that the operation may be imminent, but also that it could be more sustainable and long-lasting than a one-off strike in Iranian nuclear sites last June.

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