Follow us on social

2022-05-01t000000z_1453970683_mt1abcpr808119006_rtrmadp_3_abaca-press-scaled

The US will gain nothing by declaring Russia a terror state: experts

Observers say Pelosi’s suggested move may be cathartic but could do more harm than good in the long run.

Reporting | Europe

Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi told Secretary of State Antony Blinken that Congress will designate Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism if the executive branch doesn’t, according to Politico.

The move would no doubt be cathartic for Americans who are outraged by Russia’s brutal invasion of Ukraine, which has killed thousands of civilians and displaced millions. But it will have little effect on the war, according to experts who spoke with Responsible Statecraft. In fact, it may even end up doing more harm than good.

“The Kremlin will simply dismiss the charges as anti-Russian propaganda,” said Rajan Menon, the director of the grand strategy program at Defense Priorities. Menon added that, while further sanctions would lead to more pain for Russians, it is unlikely that they would have a significant impact on President Vladimir Putin’s calculus.

“Plus the pain is a [two-way] street,” he added. “Just consider the boomerang effect on Western economies.”

Blinken can unilaterally place Russia on America’s list of state sponsors of terrorism, which currently includes Iran, North Korea, Cuba, and Syria. He has so far hesitated to do so, arguing that the designation would in many ways be redundant.

But the State Department’s public justification may obscure more practical concerns. As Edward Fishman of the Atlantic Council told Politico, putting Moscow on the list “would be significant because it’s a blanket measure” that “injects a risk into all dealings with Russia.” 

This pervasive risk would make it difficult to do any business with Russian companies, including those that provide vital supplies of gas and food to America’s allies. With the European Union already urging its citizens to ration gas, the designation could deal another blow to the West’s united front on Ukraine, which has already suffered from the political crisis in Italy caused by disagreements over the war.

The Politico piece notes that the congressional designation would not be enough to force Blinken’s hand but could add significant political pressure to make the move.

“If either resolution passes on Capitol Hill — or a full terrorism sponsor designation gets through both chambers — Blinken may feel more pressure to side with lawmakers and make the designation,” wrote reporters Alexander Ward and Betsy Woodruff Swan.

Whether or not the designation comes from the State Department, the move would make it more difficult to conduct diplomacy with Moscow on a range of issues. (Who could forget former President George W. Bush’s famous assertion that “no nation can negotiate with terrorists”?)

And concerns go beyond this particular case: The state sponsor of terror list has long suffered from a crisis of legitimacy, made worse last year when former President Donald Trump added Cuba to the list despite scant evidence of support for actual terrorism. As Barbara Slavin argued in Responsible Statecraft at the time, U.S. terror designations have “become overly politicized and now amount to counterproductive expressions of disapproval for adversarial regimes and groups.”

“When one considers the tens of thousands of innocent civilians killed as a result of U.S. policies, [...] the hypocrisy and counterproductive nature of these designations becomes even more apparent,” Slavin wrote. “The violent actions of other groups on the list, while reprehensible, in many cases are technically acts of war not terrorism.”


Handout photo shows Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy meets with Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, during her visit to the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv, Ukraine, on May 1, 2022. Pelosi is now the highest-ranking U.S. official to visit Ukraine during the war, with the surprise visit adding to the growing momentum behind the West’s support for the country's fight against Russia. Photo by Ukrainian Presidency via ABACAPRESS.COM
Reporting | Europe
POGO
Top image credit: Project on Government Oversight

The non-empires strike back

Military Industrial Complex

The Bunker appears originally at the Project on Government Oversight and is republished here with permission.

keep readingShow less
Trump Netanyahu
Top image credit: noamgalai / Shutterstock.com

Trump appears all in for Netanyahu's political survival

Middle East

On March 25, Israeli Prime Minster Benjamin Netanyahu’s government passed its long-delayed 2025 budget. Had the vote failed, it would have automatically triggered snap elections — an outcome Netanyahu appears politically incapable of surviving.

While Israel cited stalled hostage negotiations and ongoing security threats as reasons for ending the U.S.-backed ceasefire in Gaza, Netanyahu’s decision to resume large-scale military operations just days before the vote also appeared aimed at shoring up support from far-right coalition partners such as Itamar Ben Gvir. The budget, framed explicitly by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich as a “war budget,” includes record levels of defense spending and a dramatic increase in funding for Israeli public diplomacy, a nod to the government’s attempt to counteract ongoing international condemnation of Israel’s military actions in Gaza.

keep readingShow less
JFK wanted to splinter CIA ‘into a thousand pieces.’ Why didn't he?
Top photo credit: Unredacted memo by Arthur Schlesinger (JFK files) and President John F. Kennedy, 1962 (public domain/Donald Cooksey)

JFK wanted to splinter CIA ‘into a thousand pieces.’ Why didn't he?

Washington Politics

When the final, declassified records from the John F. Kennedy assassination files were posted on the National Archives’ website last week, the first document researchers and reporters searched for was White House adviser Arthur Schlesinger Jr.’s June 1961 memorandum to the president titled “CIA Reorganization.”

ABC News led its initial coverage on the release of the JFK papers with that document, quoting Schlesinger’s now unredacted, dramatic, statistics that showed that the "CIA today has nearly as many people under official cover overseas as [the] State [Department].” The New York Times also featured that document with a headline “A Kennedy aide worried that the C.I.A. threatened the State Department’s power.”

keep readingShow less

Trump transition

Latest

Newsletter

Subscribe now to our weekly round-up and don't miss a beat with your favorite RS contributors and reporters, as well as staff analysis, opinion, and news promoting a positive, non-partisan vision of U.S. foreign policy.