Update 5/20, 6:40 a.m. ET : Sen. Bernie Sanders (D-Vt.) says he is prepared to introduce a bill in the Senate today that would put a hold on the $735 million sale of precision guided missiles to Israel.
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As the Biden administration muddles through efforts to end the fighting in Israel and Gaza, progressives in Congress appear to be stepping in to fill the leadership vacuum.
One day after House Foreign Affairs Committee chair Rep. Gregory Meeks (D-N.Y.) reversed course on his plan to ask the White House to pause an arms sale to Israel amid the ongoing fighting, Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.), Mark Pocan (D-Wis.), and Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) announced on Wednesday that they would introduce a resolution disapproving of the sale.
“The United States should not be rubber-stamping weapons sales to the Israeli government as they deploy our resources to target international media outlets, schools, hospitals, humanitarian missions and civilian sites for bombing,” Rep. Ocasio-Cortez said on Twitter. “We have a responsibility to protect human rights.”
The measure is unlikely to go very far as the period for congressional review expires on Friday, but supporters praised its symbolism.
“This is a historic day.” said Raed Jarrar, advocacy director for the human rights group Democracy for the Arab World. “Congress has never attempted to block an arms sale to Israel before, and it sends a clear message to the Israeli government that its days of impunity are coming to an end.”
Meanwhile, in the Senate, Sen Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) announced on Wednesday that he would block a GOP-led resolution offering “full and unequivocal U.S. support” for Israel’s bombardment of Gaza with a resolution of his own calling for an immediate ceasefire and supporting diplomatic effort to resolve the conflict.
Ben Armbruster is the Managing Editor of Responsible Statecraft. He has more than a decade of experience working at the intersection of politics, foreign policy, and media. Ben previously held senior editorial and management positions at Media Matters, ThinkProgress, ReThink Media, and Win Without War.
Photos: Diego G Diaz and lev radin via shutterstock.com
The Biden administration is putting together a final Ukraine aid package — about $500 million in weapons assistance — as announced in Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin’s final meeting with the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, which coordinates weapons support to Ukraine.
The capabilities in the announcement include small arms and ammunition, communications equipment, AIM-7, RIM-7, and AIM-9M missiles, and F-16 air support.
“We all have a stake in ensuring that autocrats cannot place their imperial ambitions ahead of the bedrock rights of free and sovereign peoples,” Defense Secretary Austin remarked to the Ukraine Defense Contact Group before announcing the aid. “Ukraine is waging a just war of self-defense. And it is one of the great causes of our time.”
The Defense Contact Group was formed by Austin; its future remains unclear as administrations prepare to change hands.
Indeed, incoming President Donald Trump has increasingly critiqued Biden's Ukraine strategy. In a news conference from Mar-a-Lago earlier this week, the president-elect said that the Biden administration’s talk of Ukraine’s possible NATO ascension played a role in Russia’s decision to invade Ukraine.
"A big part of the problem is, Russia — for many, many years, long before Putin — said, 'You could never have NATO involved with Ukraine.' Now, they've said that. That's been, like, written in stone," Trump said.
"And somewhere along the line Biden said, 'No. [Ukraine] should be able to join NATO.' Well, then Russia has somebody right on their doorstep, and I could understand their feelings about that."
Trump’s comments about Russia’s invasion rationale follow other critical remarks regarding war. In particular, Trump recently emphasized there had to be a “deal” on Ukraine, as people are “dying at levels nobody has ever seen.” He had also said in his 2024 Person of the Year Interview With TIME that “the number of people dying [in the Ukraine war is] not sustainable…It’s really an advantage to both sides to get this thing done.”
Trump's pick for Ukraine envoy Keith Kellogg, meanwhile, has postponed a trip to Ukraine, originally set for early this month, until sometime after Trump’s inauguration. According to Newsweek, reasons for the postponement have not been made public, and a new trip date has yet to be determined.
— Ukraine launched a second Kursk offensive this week, according to ABC News. "We continue to maintain a buffer zone on Russian territory, actively destroying Russian military potential there," Zelensky said about the offensive. Ukraine also hit a Russian air force oil depot in Engles, in Russia’s Saratov territory, hundreds of miles within the country’s borders on Wednesday, where a state of emergency has been declared in response.
— Russia says it’s captured the Ukrainian town of Kurakhove; Ukrainian forces say the city is still being fought over, according to AFP. Russia also bombed Ukrainian city Zaporizhzhia on Wednesday in an attack injuring 100 and killing 13.
— The Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs declared on X that Ukraine could replace Hungary’s role in NATO or the EU “if Hungary chooses to vacate it in favor of membership in the CIS or CSTO.” The Ukrainian MFA’s tongue-in-cheek statement, showcasing growing tensions between Ukraine and Hungary, was made in an X thread accusing Hungary’s leadership of “manipulative statements” about Ukraine’s recent decision to end gas transits from Russia to Europe. Namely, Hungarian FM Péter Szijjártó had threatened to block Ukrainian EU ascension over the gas transit halt, which he said could hurt Europe’s energy security.
"A country that signs an Association Agreement with the EU or aspires to become an EU member must contribute to the EU's energy security by providing transit routes. Therefore, closing gas or oil routes is unacceptable and contradicts the expectations associated with EU integration,” FM Péter Szijjártó said.
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Top Image Credit: Palmer Luckey, Founder of Anduril Defense Industry Disruptor - President Speaker Series (2024) (YouTube/Screenshot)
Venture capital (VC)-backed defense tech companies like Anduril, Palantir, and Scale AI have quickly risen to prominence in the weapons industry, increasingly beating out “Big Five” defense contractors like Lockheed Martin, Boeing, and RTX (formerly Raytheon) for military contracts.
And now directly challenging traditional weapons contractors’ grip over the industry, Anduril and Palantir are forming a consortium with fellow defense tech upstarts including SpaceX, OpenAI, Saronic, and Scale AI to jointly bid for military contracts, according to reporting from the Financial Times.
In a press release announcing the consortium, Anduril and Palantir depicted the effort as a way to deliver key “technological infrastructure” to the government and other partners that would “transform America’s world-leading AI advancements into next-generation military and national security capabilities,” which they present as critical to maintaining America’s military dominance amid increasingly tenuous geopolitical conditions.
But forming a consortium to jointly bid for contracts signals an intention to collude, rather than compete, with one another for funding. When considered in tandem with defense upstarts’ recent spate of blossoming partnerships, the consortium appears poised to further concentrate both lucrative government contracts and political influence in the hands of an emerging class of weapons tech start-ups — and the powerful billionaires behind them.
Defense tech partnerships and power plays abound
The companies reportedly involved in the consortium share key characteristics — they are VC-backed start ups either rooted in defense or, as in OpenAI’s case, increasingly building a profile in the industry.
Indeed, after dropping language barring military applications of its tech on its website early last year, OpenAI brought on a retired former National Security Agency (NSA) director and retired U.S. Army General Paul M. Nakasone to its board of directors. Billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk’s SpaceX has also garnered a multitude of military and intelligence contracts worth billions.
On CNBC late last month, former Palantir employee and Empros Capital founder Alex Fishman elucidated upon the Consortium’s propensity to boost Palantir’s role in the weapons industry as a kind of coordinator, while giving other prospective participants a critical edge in their respective endeavors. “I think [the consortium is] an absolutely enormous opportunity…for Palantir, that means being the glue, that means tying it all together, that means coordinating all of these things. Of course, for SpaceX, that means projecting dominance through space, and for Anduril, dominance in the drone arena. And for Open AI, it means bringing the best AI models to bear.”
Initial consortium partnerships may be announced as soon as this month. Meanwhile, Anduril and Palantir are making other critical bids to consolidate forces, including integrating Palantir’s “AI Platform,” or AIP, with Anduril’s “Lattice” autonomous software platform to bolster AI capabilities in the national security realm, according to the same press statement announcing the consortium. Anduril has also launched a “Lattice Partner Program” to integrate its Lattice autonomous operating system into other companies’ operations, including many defense and deep tech startups, including Forterra, Impulse Space, Numerica, Oracle,Saronic, Scale AI, Textron Systems and Valinor — some of which have notably been contacted to join the consortium.
The announcements emphasize that such software integrations foster interoperability critical to sharing information between partners within military contexts, where access to rapidly developing battlefield information can be key to making timely warfighter decisions. What goes unmentioned is how integrating Anduril’s (or any given weapons tech company’s) software into myriad defense tech companies’ systems’ operations may further secure its position as a defense industry staple, thus positioning it for both contracts and industry-wide influence to boot.
Crucially, news of the consortium materializes as the companies it’s to involve are economically rivaling, if not outright surpassing, the very traditional defense contractors the consortium aims to challenge. With a valuation of $350 billion, SpaceX is now the world’s most valuable private company, with Open AI gaining ground with a recent $157 billion valuation. And Palantir’s stock price more than quadrupled last year, further, making it more valuable than both RTX and Lockheed Martin.
The Thiel Connection
Critically, Anduril, Palantir, and other reportedly consortium-involved tech startups, including Scale AI, OpenAI, and SpaceX, are funded by billionaire venture capitalist Peter Thiel, especially through his VC firm Founders Fund. The controversial Silicon Valley kingmaker has simultaneously worked to influence policymaking processes via the funding of a number of successful congressional campaigns over the years, including the previous U.S. Senate campaign of now incoming Vice President J.D. Vance.
The consortium announcement coinciding with an incoming Trump administration, meanwhile, is timely given defense tech players’ affinities towards Trump, whose interests, they posit, align with defense tech efforts to allegedly make the industry more cost effective, in contrast with Big Five business models that often ask for hefty contracts up front, complete work slowly, and frequently price-gouge.
“I think Trump is a change candidate…he wants to get more for less,” Anduril head and long-term Trump supporter Palmer Luckey excitedly told CNBC after Trump’s re-election. “I think you can do [defense spending] with less if you do it right…if you select the right companies, you can succeed and spend less.”
But Lockheed Martin Chief Financial Officer Jay Malave posits that the efficiency Luckey supposedly cherishes could actually bolster the DoD budget, thus securing more funds for weapons contractors of all stripes. “With government efficiency, you could see elements of addition by subtraction, so ultimately, you could see a higher budget request than what we've seen from the prior administration.”
Meanwhile, a Defense Department official told Defense One that altogether, he could see growing defense tech partnerships as “a play to shape the next administration’s approach” to procuring and buying defense tech.
Ultimately, circumstances at hand suggest that a Palantir- and Anduril-led defense tech consortium will be bidding for contracts — at the hands of a friendly Trump administration.
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Top Photo: U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) and Senate Foreign Relations Chair, Senator Ben Cardin (D-MD), listen as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addresses a joint meeting of Congress at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, U.S., July 24, 2024. REUTERS/Craig Hudson
UPDATE 1/9: On Thursday, the House voted 243-to-140 — with 45 Democrats joining all Republicans — to support the bill sanctioning the ICC and anyone who has directly engaged in or otherwise aided any effort by the International Criminal Court to investigate, arrest, detain, or prosecute a protected person (in this case Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu). Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) voted "present."
The upcoming House of Representatives Rules Committee Package is sure to include a section requiring the consideration of a bill that would sanction the International Criminal Court (ICC), therefore shielding Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu from arrest.
The ICC issued arrest warrants for Netanyahu, as well as former Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and Hamas leader Ibrahim Al-Masri in November 2024 for their actions in Gaza, alleging war crimes and crimes against humanity. ICC judges said that the Gaza blockade "created conditions of life calculated to bring about the destruction of part of the civilian population in Gaza, which resulted in the death of civilians, including children, due to malnutrition and dehydration.”
A House Resolution introduced by over a dozen House Republicans, titled the”‘Illegitimate Court Counteraction Act” is meant “to impose sanctions with respect to the International Criminal Court engaged in any effort to investigate, arrest, detain, or prosecute any protected person of the United States and its allies.”
The bill found that “The United States and Israel are not parties to the Rome Statute or members of the International Criminal Court (ICC), and therefore the ICC has no legitimacy or jurisdiction over the United States or Israel.” Because of the lack of jurisdiction, the co-sponsors assert, “The ICC’s actions against Israel, including the preliminary examination and investigation of Israel and issuance of arrest warrants against Israeli officials, are illegitimate and baseless and create a damaging precedent that threatens the United States, Israel, and all United States partners who have not consented to the ICC’s jurisdiction.”
The bill further states that “if the International Criminal Court is engaging in any attempt to investigate, arrest, detain, or prosecute any protected person,” the President shall then impose sanctions. These sanctions can be placed on any “foreign person” who directly aided or engaged in efforts to assist the ICC in investigating, arresting, detaining, or prosecuting a protected person. This could include financial or material assistance.
Despite calling the arrest warrant for Netanyahu “outrageous,” President Biden had previously opposed sanctioning the ICC for seeking arrest warrants against Benjamin Netanyahu. However, President Trump notably approved sanctions in September 2020 on members of the ICC who were “involved in the ICC’s efforts to investigate US personnel.”
The ICC has no actual enforcement authorities, leaving detention and arrest to the 125 members countries that are party to the Rome convention. But it is fully voluntary. It appears, according to the text, that the bill is authorizing Congress to impose sanctions on any foreign actor (who could be from a partner or allied country) and their families if they helped to detain Netanayhu on behalf of the ICC warrant.What this would look like in practice is unclear. Ireland and the Netherlands (a NATO alliance member) have both indicated that the Israeli prime minister would be arrested if he set foot on their soil.
The decision to include H.R. 23 in the Rules package is not without its opponents. Congressman Thomas Massie (R-Ky) dissented on X: “The United States is a sovereign country, so I don’t assign any credibility to decisions of the International Criminal Court. But how did a bill to protect Netanyahu make it into the House rules package to be voted on immediately after the Speaker vote? Where are our priorities?!” His office declined to comment further when RS inquired.
It is important to note that the package cannot be voted on until House leadership appoints the committee, which may come with additional challenges, as previous speaker Kevin McCarthy was forced to appoint three Freedom Caucus members to the last Rules Committee, and these three members regularly joined Democrats to vote down legislation submitted by Republican leadership.
Reports indicate that the appointments will likely happen by this Friday.
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