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The next Israel war on Iran is coming

The next Israel war on Iran is coming

Quincy's Trita Parsi: The Netanyahu government has unfinished business, with attacks — which will drag in the US — 'weeks or months' away

Analysis | Latest
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Israel’s 12-day war on Iran in June shocked the world, and led to the U.S. striking three of Iran’s nuclear facilities.

But Trita Parsi, the Quincy Institute's Executive Vice President, stresses that this conflict was no one-off. Rather, another, much greater war between Israel and Iran may well occur — and that it will likely involve the United States.

This would not be in America's interest, nor is it what Trump campaigned on when he was running for president. Instead, the U.S. must pursue diplomatic compromises while they are possible, to prevent war and to get U.S. troops out of the Middle East.

“There are spaces for compromise on this issue. [This compromise] should be pursued because it lies in the U.S. interest,” Parsi said. “Not just because it avoids this war, but because it helps Donald Trump fulfill the promise of actually getting U.S. troops out of the Middle East and back home.”

Parsi says the Israeli government has unfinished business with Iran and will view the best timing for another attack before December. He explains why in this latest Quincy Institute video, produced by Senior Video Producer Khody Akhavi:



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Analysis | Latest
nuclear weapons
Top image credit: rawf8 via shutterstock.com

What will happen when there are no guardrails on nuclear weapons?

Global Crises

The New START Treaty — the last arms control agreement between the U.S. and Russia — is set to expire next week, unless President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin make a last minute decision to renew it. Letting the treaty expire would increase the risk of nuclear conflict and open the door to an accelerated nuclear arms race. A coalition of arms control and disarmament groups is pushing Congress and the president to pledge to continue to observe the New START limits on deployed, strategic nuclear weapons by the US and Russia.

New START matters. The treaty, which entered into force on February 5, 2011 after a successful effort by the Obama administration to win over enough Republican senators to achieve the required two-thirds majority to ratify the deal, capped deployed warheads to 1,550 for each side, and established verification procedures to ensure that both sides abided by the pact. New START was far from perfect, but it did put much needed guardrails on nuclear development that reduced the prospect of an all-out arms race.

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Trump Hegseth Rubio
Top image credit: President Donald Trump, joined by Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Secretary of the Navy John Phelan, announces plans for a “Golden Fleet” of new U.S. Navy battleships, Monday, December 22, 2025, at the Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida. (Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok)

Trump's realist defense strategy with interventionist asterisks

Washington Politics

The Trump administration has released its National Defense Strategy, a document that in many ways marks a sharp break from the interventionist orthodoxies of the past 35 years, but possesses clear militaristic impulses in its own right.

Rhetorically quite compatible with realism and restraint, the report envisages a more focused U.S. grand strategy, shedding force posture dominance in all major theaters for a more concentrated role in the Western Hemisphere and Indo-Pacific. At the same time however, it retains a rather status quo Republican view of the Middle East, painting Iran as an intransigent aggressor and Israel as a model ally. Its muscular approach to the Western Hemisphere also may lend itself to the very interventionism that the report ostensibly opposes.

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Alternative vs. legacy media
Top photo credit: Gemini AI

Ding dong the legacy media and its slavish war reporting is dead

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In a major development that must be frustrating to an establishment trying to sell their policies to an increasingly skeptical public, the rising popularity of independent media has made it impossible to create broad consensus for corporate-compliant narratives, and to casually denigrate, or even censor, those who disagree.

It’s been a long road.

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