Follow us on social

google cta
Shutterstock_1898084764-scaled

No sugarcoating it: We're in the midst of a real civilian-military crisis

Our forces are strategically impaired and can't win wars because of failing leadership, corruption, hubris, and more.

Analysis | Military Industrial Complex
google cta
google cta

In the rush to grant a statutory waiver to retired General Lloyd Austin and confirm him as the 28th Secretary of Defense, the Senate — the world’s greatest deliberative body, we are told — gave no consideration to what, largely unrecognized, is the central challenge facing Austin going forward: the current state of civil-military relations in this country.

Simply put, U.S. civil-military relations are, and for at least the past three decades have been, in a continuing state of crisis. To claim crisis, of course, is to risk charges of alarmist hyperbole. That’s why in the past, previous charges of crisis so quickly devolved into less inflammatory rhetorical claims of a civil-military “gap.”

This isn’t a palpable, urgent crisis like the Covid-19 pandemic, or climate change, or the collapsing economy. There’s no threat of a military overthrow of the government, nor of units disintegrating in combat, nor of mass military resignations or open defiance of orders. Rather this is a crisis more like an insidious termite infestation or lymphoma that destroys from within.

The most recent evidence of crisis was ex-President Trump’s shameless, sustained politicization of the military – and, arguably, the military’s concomitant willingness to be politicized. Beyond such blatant politicization, though, there has been plentiful evidence over the last decade — including manifold operational failures, atrocities, corruption, fraud and waste, friendly fire incidents (and cover-ups), failed weapon systems, sexual assault, and abundant other forms of misconduct (even among senior ranks) – that a crisis exists. 

Literally hundreds of such incidents occur annually and have since at least the start of the Clinton administration; yet this sustained profusion of misbehavior is invariably written off by institutional defenders and uncritical observers as a reflection of just a few bad behavioral apples in an otherwise healthy cultural barrel. Thus oblivious to underlying systemic problems, the public consistently rank the military at the top of American institutions in terms of public trust and confidence.

A perhaps more fundamental, less impressionistic approach to judging the health of civil-military relations is to consider what an ideal state of relations would look like, were one to exist. One could argue that it would consist of these key elements: a strategically effective military whose leaders and advisors provide sound advice to strategically competent civilian officials (elected and administrative), who are representative of and answerable to an informed, civically engaged public. This would all be undergirded by a critical free press, a vibrant civil society and what we might call a properly subordinated military-industrial complex. Where any of these elements is absent, civil-military relations could be said to be in ill health.

From this picture emerges questions the new Secretary of Defense should ask himself, “his” military, and his overseers:

Is the U.S. military strategically effective? No. It no longer wins wars. It doesn’t prevent war, writ large (though some think it prevents wars, writ small). And it doesn’t produce peace (a failure of insulting proportions for all who think preparing for war is the best, if not the only, way to produce peace). Even a military that is considered effective at war but is disproportionately destructive, or indiscriminately lethal, or exorbitantly expensive, or overly provocative and escalatory, or unduly consumptive, or alienated from society — all of which our military is — is strategically ineffective at best, dysfunctional at worst.

A military that, in narrowly providing for the common defense, undermines the other precepts embodied in America’s security credo, the Preamble to the Constitution — national unity, justice, domestic tranquility, the general welfare, liberty — is strategically ineffective. A military that precipitates and nurtures domestic and international militarism, that glorifies lethality and perpetuates nuclearization, while thereby failing to make progress toward the overarching normative aim of enduring universal peace, is strategically ineffective.

A military that projects imagery of arrogance and hypocrisy in place of credibility and legitimacy — born of practicing what one superciliously preaches to others — is ineffective. Most fundamentally, a military that fails to fulfill the expectations of the other parties to the social contract of civil-military relations — by being operationally competent, politically (and ideologically, religiously, and culturally) neutral, and socially responsible — is ineffective. Every time atrocities and collateral damage are perpetrated; every time those in uniform acquiesce to being political props, or fail to push back against politically self-serving direction; every time sexual assault, racial and homophobic bigotry, or sundry forms of waste and corruption occur, these expectations are dashed.

Are the military’s leaders a source of sound strategic advice? No. When the military’s senior leaders uncritically adopt the notion that their proper ambit is nothing more than “sound military advice”; when they demonstrate an inability to distinguish defense from security; when they parrot trite shibboleths that war’s nature is unchanging, that preparing for and waging war is the surest path to peace, or that the wars of today are actually winnable (if waged on our preferred terms), then they show themselves incapable of sound strategic advice. 

When these military leaders simplistically conflate low, partisan politics (where they don’t belong) with the high politics of statecraft (where they do belong); when they are devoid of ideas for successfully resolving America’s forever wars; when they adhere to the triteness of “warfighting” and “warfighters” as the military’s canonical raison d’etre, they are ineffective. When they subscribe, even if subconsciously, to the established “American Way of War” — killing people and breaking things as lethally and destructively as possible — as appropriate for the asymmetric, hybrid wars we invariably face, they are ineffective. When they propagate backward-looking, Old War-oriented ideological tracts posing as bona fide strategy (as with the 2018 National Defense Strategy), then they again betray their a-strategic intellectual limitations.

Are the civilian authorities charged with overseeing and directing the military strategically competent? Judging from those who populated the Trump administration — by objective standards the most inept, intellectually vacuous, politically obsessed aggregation of malpractitioners in recent memory — the answer is no. Civilian authorities hold the key to “the deal” that lies at the heart of civil-military relations: in return for the deference, obedience, compliance, and silence those in uniform willingly give, they expect and deserve in return strategic literacy, competence and leadership from their civilian minders. 

Like James Mattis before him, Secretary Austin will be tested to see whether he is capable of rising above and stepping outside 40 years of socialization in uniform to assume the strategic perspective that tactician Mattis failed to demonstrate. Unlike Mattis, he will not have to choose between allegiance to the military as an institution or to his boss, the commander-in-chief, because Biden, unlike Trump, will not seek to ignore or subvert established norms and limits of propriety.

These are all questions that generally exist within the secretary of defense’s purview and thus demand his assiduous attention. Other questions associated with an ideal state of civil-military relations — the awareness and engagement of the public at large, and the existence of a critical free press committed to truth, a vibrant civil society committed to accountability, and a properly subordinated military-industrial complex — remain for the secretary’s civilian superiors and the rest of us to attend to with continuing seriousness in the months ahead.


Members of the National Guard are seen guarding the National Mall on January 19, 2021 in Washington D.C. (Shutterstock/AlexiRosenfeld)
google cta
Analysis | Military Industrial Complex
Meet Trump’s man in Greenland
Top image credit: American investor Thomas Emanuel Dans poses in Nuuk's old harbor, Greenland, February 6, 2025. (REUTERS/Sarah Meyssonnier)

Meet Trump’s man in Greenland

Washington Politics

In March of last year, when public outrage prevented Second Lady Usha Vance from attending a dogsled race in Greenland, Thomas Dans took it personally.

“As a sponsor and supporter of this event I encouraged and invited the Second Lady and other senior Administration officials to attend this monumental race,” Dans wrote on X at the time, above a photo of him posing with sled dogs and an American flag. He expressed disappointment at “the negative and hostile reaction — fanned by often false press reports — to the United States supporting Greenland.”

keep readingShow less
Trump
Top image credit: President Donald Trump delivers remarks at a press conference at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, following Operation Absolute Resolve in Venezuela leading to the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, Saturday, January 3, 2026. (Official White House Photo by Molly Riley)

The new Trump Doctrine: Strategic domination and denial

Global Crises

The new year started with a flurry of strategic signals, as on January 3 the Trump administration launched the opening salvos of what appears to be a decisive new campaign to reclaim its influence in Latin America, demarcate its areas of political interests, and create new spheres of military and economic denial vis-à-vis China and Russia.

In its relatively more assertive approach to global competition, the United States has thus far put less premium on demarcating elements of ideological influence and more on what might be perceived as calculated spheres of strategic disruption and denial.

keep readingShow less
NPT
Top image credit: Milos Ruzicka via shutterstock.com

We are sleepwalking into nuclear catastrophe

Global Crises

In May of his first year as president, John F. Kennedy met with Israeli President David Ben-Gurion to discuss Israel’s nuclear program and the new nuclear power plant at Dimona.

Writing about the so-called “nuclear summit” in “A State at Any Cost: The Life of David Ben-Gurion,” Israeli historian Tom Segev states that during this meeting, “Ben-Gurion did not get much from the president, who left no doubt that he would not permit Israel to develop nuclear weapons.”

keep readingShow less
google cta
Want more of our stories on Google?
Click here to make us a Preferred Source.

LATEST

QIOSK

Newsletter

Subscribe now to our weekly round-up and don't miss a beat with your favorite RS contributors and reporters, as well as staff analysis, opinion, and news promoting a positive, non-partisan vision of U.S. foreign policy.