Middle East
Why 'D-Day' was destined to be a dud
Trump's new sanctions won't alter the complex political dance between Iran's factions. It will, however, help to coalesce them around one goal: regime survival.
September 05, 2026
strait of hormuz
Middle East
Why the Trump administration will have to accept a Hormuz toll
It wouldn't be unprecedented, and Gulf countries are already seeking out alternatives to the strait, which means its importance will eventually diminish
August 10, 2026
Middle East
Surprise strikes signal Iran is digging in for a long war
As hopes for a peace deal with the US fade, Tehran appears to be preparing to fight through the end of Trump's presidency
August 06, 2026
Middle East
Will Trump meet his Suez moment & seize Hormuz deal on the table?
Oman and Iran appear close to a temporary arrangement to reopen the Strait — which Washington should welcome if it keeps traffic open and free
August 05, 2026
Global Crises
Trump is playing chicken with America's oil reserves
The US risks depleting its emergency petroleum supplies even as it escalates with Iran
July 28, 2026
Middle East
Oman is cozying up to China as US throws Mideast into disarray
The war in Iran is pushing smaller states to diversify their great power partnerships — if Washington will let them
July 27, 2026
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