Middle East
Was the MOU meant to be trashed?
Evidence now suggests at a minimum, the Trump admin used the June agreement to stall and weaken Iran's leverage with really no intent on carrying it out
October 22, 2026
Evidence now suggests at a minimum, the Trump admin used the June agreement to stall and weaken Iran's leverage with really no intent on carrying it out
While going back to the status quo ante — free transit through the waterway — seems unlikely, there's a proven way ahead that won't breach sovereignty or shut off access
The war is most likely to end through a minimalistic ceasefire that opens a path to a broader deal
The admin might have been toying with MBS, but it won't be able to resist certain pressures for long, say QI experts
Experts say a closer look reveals increasing prices, exhausting reserves, and an unsustainable security situation because Iran is still attacking
US interests in both the Middle East and Asia would be best served by cooperation with Beijing
